[californiadisasters] South Ops News & Notes Update (02/03/12-5PM)

Date	Time	News and Notes
02/03	1700	Fire Potential Discussion: Winds will result in drying of fuels through the weekend. ERC values in the dead fuels, which fell earlier this week, will climb rapidly during the next 3 days in response to drying winds over southern California. Although minimum RH should stay out of the single digits for the most part, ERC's in dead fuels will approach the 90th percentile across the inland valleys and foothills where precipitation has been lightest. Live fuel moisture is very low for this time of year in some of the rain shadowed areas of the northern ANF and BDF, and even live fuels in these areas will carry fire during windy periods. The greatest likelihood of seeing a large fire will be near highway 14 in Canyon Country where the overlap of strong winds and dry fuels will occur once again. Large fire potential will fall Sunday night and Monday once much more humid weather arrives. Although there will be a good chance of rain next Tuesday, this storm will not produce enough precipitation to moisten fuels substantially. For further information follow link to http://gacc.nifc.gov/oscc/predictive/outlooks/Scal_Fire_Potential.pdf
02/03	0800	Second 2012 Snow Survey Shows Continuing Dry Conditions http://www.water.ca.gov/news/
02/02	1200	Executive Summary / National Wildland significant Fire Potential Outlook: http://www.predictiveservices.nifc.gov/outlooks/monthly_seasonal_outlook.pdf

Source: http://gacc.nifc.gov/oscc/predictive/intelligence/news_notes/index.htm

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