Monday, March 14, 2016

[Geology2] Volcano Newa 03.14.2016



Life beneath a snowcapped active volcano

By NewsGram NewsDesk2 -
March 14, 2016

Image for representation purpose. Courtesy :adventuresmithexplorations.com

March 12, 2016
Priyanka Gupta
Posted with permission from Al Jazeera
The Cotopaxi volcano in Ecuador shows signs of erupting, 138 years after its last big eruption left 1,000 people dead.

Cotopaxi mountain, Ecuador - It was June 1877 and summer in the Sierra. The dry, Andean wind carried specks of ash that sprinkled down upon the sprawling haciendas and lush swaths of green pastures as hundreds of farm animals grazed at the foot of Cotopaxi, one of the world's highest active volcanoes.

Since the beginning of the year, the majestic snow capped summit, standing at more than 5,800 metres, had belched out small puffs of smoke and ash.

In the capital, Quito, the churches were silent and the doors remained locked.

It was an unusual time for the city. The interim head of the church had been forced into exile by the military dictator, General Ignacio de Veintemilla, who people suspected of murdering the Archbishop of Quito by lacing his chalice of wine with poison during the Good Friday prayers. 

Residents of Quito shunned and feared him. A year before, the general had ridden to power through a violent coup and a three-month civil war with forces loyal to the deposed president, Antonio Borrero.

The streets of Quito were as turbulent as the skies above, which were slowly turning black and pouring a "rain of ash". 

The last big eruption

Then, on the morning of June 26, Cotopaxi convulsed. A major eruption shook the ground beneath it. Torrents of water, hot gas and rock poured down, destroying factories and farmland, villages and small towns. An avalanche of mud filled nearby rivers, bursting their banks.

It took just over 30 minutes for the debris to reach the nearest town, Latacunga. Within 18 hours it had travelled west, reaching the Pacific coast.

Although Quito was spared the devastation, it was shrouded in complete darkness and the entire city was coated in a fine layer of ash.

"The inhabitants of Quito were shocked to know that, besides the deaths produced by the clashes with the dictatorship's army, many people had died because of the mud slides that covered the central area of Los Chillos Valley, where rich families had their haciendas," Gonzalo Ortiz, an Ecuadorian writer and historian, told Al Jazeera.

"Houses and workshops had been wiped [out] in a moment, animals drowned and were taken down by the flow." 

Two months later, the news of the eruption finally reached the Atlantic. It was estimated that at least 1,000 people had lost their lives and millions of dollars worth of property was gone forever.

That was the last time Cotopaxi erupted on a significant scale.

Cotopaxi rumbles again

Then, 138 years later, in the early hours of a Friday morning last August, there were reports of five explosions and a plume of ash five kilometres long shooting into the air.

Vulcanologists now believe an eruption is imminent, but they cannot be sure of the scale.

The areas around the volcano have been designated as risk zones and the 90,000 people living in them are under yellow alert, preparing for the worst.

Patricia Mothes is a volcanologist at Ecuador's Geophysics Institute in Quito. The Institute has been closely monitoring Cotopaxi.

"Volcanoes have an on and off process," she explained. "The seismic activity here has been going on for about six months … This is number six of the important eruptive periods from 1532 to now. It always ends in [a] major eruption."

And while Mothes believes there could very well be an eruption, she is keen to stress that "we will be warned about it".

Inside the Cotopaxi danger zone

As you wind down the lanes of the pan-American highway, amid the rolling swaths of farmland and undulating hills, Cotopaxi appears almost unobtrusive as it towers over the Ecuadorian countryside. The steady jet of steam and gas frothing from the ice-capped mouth of the volcano seem to melt into the clouds.

Off the highway, a dirt road leads to Mulalo, a small farming town, 30km from Cotopaxi. A green street sign stands innocuously at the side of the road. Evacuacion Hacia - towards evacuation - it reads, pointing in the direction of Tanicuchi, 580 metres away, which the government has designated as gathering point in the event of an eruption.

Large volcanic boulders lie by the side of the roads, a reminder of the devastation wrought by the volcano in 1877.

Today, the town of 12,000 people resembles a ghost town. Tiny, bronze locks and a few stray dogs guard rows of small, abandoned houses with red flags fluttering at the top to signal that they fall within the risk zone.

Around 4,000 people left Mulalo when Cotopaxi first spewed ash in August, and only about 40 percent of them have returned since.

The town is quiet with just a few shops open and a school nearby where a handful of children still attend classes.

Before August, there were 800 pupils studying here, but close to 200 of them have left along with their families for nearby towns.

Dr Raul Amaya Perea and his daughter visit the town to conduct regular eye check-ups for the pupils.

"The basic problems for children that are caused by the Cotopaxi ash are allergies. Almost 80 percent of the kids here have conjunctivitis because of the ash," Perea said.

Learning in the shadow of Cotopaxi

Children wrapped in grey fleece overalls with the rainbow coloured motif of Ecuador emblazoned on their chests, play in a school compound that overlooks Cotopaxi in the distance.

There are safe rooms for the children here in case of ash fall, but if an eruption is significant, teachers are supposed to escort the children to the nearest safe zone - a 20-minute walk away - from where their parents are expected to collect them before heading to designated safe zones, chosen based on the impact of previous eruptions.

Government assurances and evacuation drills have done little to allay the fears of anxious teachers who say that they have been putting on a brave face and sticking to a routine for the sake of their students.

"We think we are prepared because the government has a plan, but this is only in theory, we will know what happens when it happens," said Narcisa Rivadeneira, the vice rector at the school.

"We still don't know where the rations will come from. There is no information. All the residents of Mulalo are supposed to go to Roselle but it is not [big] enough for all the people. More than upset, I am worried," Rivadeneira continued.

Mario Rocha Niza, the head of the local government in Mulalo, indicates a small patch of concrete that is supposed to serve as a meeting point for thousands of families should the volcano erupt.

"If the volcano erupts, then God help us," he said.

"Right now there's [a] yellow alert but if there's [an] orange alert and if the eruption is big then people will be directed to go [to] the Pan American Highway," Niza explained.

Cotopaxi has been emitting ash for more than seven months. Early warning systems of electronic sirens have been installed and volunteers have been provided with walkie talkies. They will be notified, by SMS or Whatsapp messages, by those monitoring the volcano if there is a change to the alert level. In the case of a red alert, the men have been made reponsible for going door to door to notify residents and sound the alarms.

Simulation drills have been conducted in three provinces in the risk zone, with sirens sounded and announcements made in different languages. Portable water supplies, evacuation routes, education and health services were all part of the drill.

A budget of more than $67m has been allocated for contingency measures in case of an eruption, the effects of which may be exacerbated by the El Nino weather pattern in the region as that places a further stress on existing resources. 

The elderly and the sick left behind

At the southern foot of Cotopaxi there are dozens of small farming communities. These isolated homes are far from the evacuation zones.

In San Ramon, locals say only 20 of the 150 families who lived there remain. Many are elderly and too frail to flee by themselves should the volcano erupt. Most hope that family members will be close enough by to take them to safety in such circumstances.

Sixty-four-year-old Zoila Maria Toctahuano lives with her husband and a pack of dogs in a thatched hut propped up by thick boulders. Strong gusts of wind disburse flecks of ash across her land. A thin, surgical mask given to her by the local authorities isn't enough to stop them from reaching her lungs and making her ill.

If there's an erruption, she and her husband will have to walk across isolated dirt tracks for a distance of 10km to reach the nearest evacuation zone.

She says she was promised that government officials would come and rescue them. But, she added: "Only God knows what will happen, we don't know anything. If the time comes, we will die, we can't leave the house alone."

Economic casualties of Cotopaxi

The foothills of the Cotopaxi mountain is a site of vast, gated, flower plantations. This is where Ecuador produces millions of fresh flowers to sell in international markets. The country is the world's third-largest exporter of cut flowers, three-quarters of which are roses.

Deco Flor is one of the largest plantations at Via San Augustin, producing 1.5 million rose buds of different colours every month. Many of those buds are exported abroad.

After the first emission in August, thousands of roses were covered in ash, making them unfit for export. The plantation owners lost thousands of dollars.

In Machachi, cattle owners saw a decrease in milk production when the ash destroyed acres of pasture in August. Some of them have been forced to sell and at times kill their cattle. The Ministry of Agriculture has now despatched mobile vet units in the affected regions and given out tonnes of cattle feed.

"Right now farmers are getting a preview of what might happen if and when there is a substantial explosion similar to those in the past," said Susan Poats, an anthropologist and director of Grupo Randi Randi, an Ecuadorian non-profit organisation that promotes sustainable development.

"If farmers must sell their cattle because they have nowhere to lodge them or feed for them, they often face greatly reduced prices because many others are trying to sell as well," Poats said.

"Some large farms have already moved their cattle to other areas, sometimes relying on relatives who farm outside the risk areas." 

Prepare, prepare, prepare

It's a busy time for Ecuador's Secretariat of Management of Risks, the agency that oversees and informs the public about the government's contingency plans.

Cotopaxi is South America's most closely monitored volcano with scientists and volcanologists using a variety of cameras, sensors, instruments and seismic reading devices to detect any activity.

"When the levels of uncertainty are high, we have to prepare for the worst," said Maria del Pilar Cornejo, the former Secretary of Risk Management, who was preparing a contingency plan after the first signs of activity.

For now, thousands of people are caught in a strange waiting game - going from one drill to another, unsure when or if the sirens will go off for real.

Priyanka Gupta reported from Ecuador on a fellowship from the International Reporting Project (IRP). 

http://www.newsgram.com/life-beneath-a-snowcapped-active-volcano/

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Don't build your model on sand

March 14, 2016
Don't build your model on sand
Credit: picture alliance / Westend61

Volcanic ash can damage jet engines, and Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet (LMU) in Munich volcanologists have developed a new empirical model for assessment of the risk. Their results show that tests using sand do not reflect the behavior of ash in this context.

Volcanic ash is hazardous to commercial aircraft because, when drawn into , it can severely damage the turbines as well as compromising the operation of other components. For this reason, the eruption of the volcano Eyjafjallajökull in Iceland in 2010 led to widespread disruption of air traffic over Europe and resulted in considerable economic losses. "Damage to the engines is primarily attributable to the deposition of melted ash on the vanes of the turbines," says Professor Donald Dingwell, Director of the Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences at LMU. "And one of the grounds for the extensive closure of airspace in 2010 was that nothing was known about the melting behavior of under the conditions found inside jet engines." He and his research group have now investigated the issue, and shown that the of the ash, which varies depending on its source, plays a crucial role in determining how much damage it can cause. Furthermore, the new study shows that the standard tests, which use sand or as proxies, do not reproduce the effects of volcanic ash on jet engines. On the basis of these results, the LMU team has developed a model which enables them to provide more realistic estimates of the risk to aviation posed by volcanic ash. Their findings appear online in the journal Nature Communications.

Temperatures in working jet engines range between 1200°C and 2000°C. Under such conditions, volcanic ash particles melt and the molten material is deposited on the hot surfaces of the turbines. This in turn can lead to clogging of fuel nozzles, cooling ducts and other engine parts. In addition, ash particles may penetrate the protective ceramic coatings on the turbines, compromising their performance as thermal barriers and exacerbating damage. "The only available data concerning the effects of airborne particles on turbines come from outdated tests based on the use of sand," Dingwell points out. "However, in terms of its chemical composition, volcanic ash differs significantly from sand. Furthermore, ash varies widely in composition depending on which volcano it comes from.

Ash melts at lower temperatures than sand

The LMU researchers have therefore performed the first systematic analysis of the melting behavior of volcanic ash obtained from a variety of sources. They heated samples of ash from nine different volcanos at various rates up to a maximum temperature of 1650°C, thus simulating the range of temperatures found at different locations within commercial jet engines. Melting temperatures were found to depend strongly on the chemical composition of the ash: The higher the fraction of basic oxides in the sample, the lower the melting temperature. "With the aid of our data, we were able to develop an empirical model, which describes how the melting behavior of volcanic ash as a function of its chemical composition and the rate at which it is heated," Dingwell explains. "We also confirmed earlier reports that ash generally melts at significantly lower temperatures than dust particles or sand—and consequently will be deposited at much higher rates on hot engine parts." He and his colleagues are therefore convinced that tests based on the use of sand are unsuitable for assessing the effects of volcanic ash on turbines, because they severely underestimate the degree of damage that the latter particulates can cause.

"With this model, we provide the basis for more accurate estimation of the effects of the deposition of volcanic ash in turbine engines," says Dingwell. The researchers now plan to broaden their database in order to extend the applicability of the model. They also intend to explore how jet engines can be rendered less susceptible to damage by volcanic ash - by developing deposition-resistant coatings for component surfaces.

Explore further: Ceramic coatings may protect jet engines from volcanic ash

More information: Wenjia Song et al. Volcanic ash melting under conditions relevant to ash turbine interactions, Nature Communications (2016). DOI: 10.1038/ncomms10795



http://phys.org/news/2016-03-dont-sand.html#jCp

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National Geographic Society to make film on Nicaraguan lake
IANS
| Managua | 14 March, 2016


Representational Image (Photo: Getty Images)


A team of scientific explorers from the National Geographic Society is planning to film a documentary on a lava lake in Nicaragua's Masaya volcano, which has shown an increase in volcanic activity since last December.

National Geographic asked permission from the Nicaraguan government to make a documentary film about the Masaya volcano, located 23 km southeast of the capital Managua, to document the "magical place", according to Rosario Murillo, the coordinator for the government's Communication and Citizenship Council.

"They have asked permission to do the shooting in the Masaya volcano with a team of explorers, scientists and filmmakers to safely produce a video," EFE news reported on Monday citing Murillo.

The Washington-headquartered scientific non-profit organisation is now coordinating with the Nicaraguan Institute for Territorial Studies to arrange the visit to Masaya National Park, one of 78 protected areas in the country.

National Geographic wants to introduce "the extraordinary lava lakes of Masaya" to the world, Murillo added.

http://www.thestatesman.com/news/science-and-tech/national-geographic-society-to-make-film-on-nicaraguan-lake/129837.html


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