Tuesday, February 4, 2014

[californiadisasters] San Bruno sues state for PG&E blast documents



San Bruno sues state for PG&E blast documents

Jaxon Van Derbeken | San Francisco Chronicle
Updated 8:52 pm, Monday, February 3, 2014

San Bruno sued the California Public Utilities Commission on Monday to obtain documents it said may expose a "cozy" relationship between regulators and Pacific Gas and Electric Co., marking a new low in relations between the city and state over the 2010 pipeline explosion that killed eight residents and destroyed a neighborhood.

Attorneys for the city say the commission, which regulates PG&E, has failed to turn over a wide range of documents that San Bruno is seeking under the state Public Records Act. They include what the city says could be evidence of improper meddling by agency Executive Director Paul Clanon in the blast probe and investigative reports on other PG&E gas pipeline incidents.

"These requests go directly to the issue of the (commission's) oversight of PG&E," said the suit, filed in San Francisco Superior Court.

San Bruno says the state agency wrongly denied the city access to some documents and has "systematically" failed to respond to other requests within the legally required 10 days. In some cases, the city said, the utilities commission "did not reply at all."

The commission did not immediately respond to a request for comment about the lawsuit, which asks a judge to order the state to turn over the documents.

Among the items San Bruno is seeking are any e-mails or other documents that it says could show that Clanon sought to influence administrative law judges considering how PG&E might be penalized for violations leading up to the September 2010 explosion.

Size of fine

The commission's staff first recommended against fines entirely, saying improvements that PG&E has made in its gas system should count toward the San Bruno penalty. After a dispute within its legal staff, the agency ultimately recommended that PG&E be fined $300 million and make more than $2 billion worth of improvements.

In one e-mail, city attorneys believe, Clanon urged the commissioner and law judge overseeing the case to accept PG&E's accounting of fixes it had made - even those unrelated to the 2010 disaster - as satisfying the San Bruno penalty.

'Cozy' suspicions

The city says the disclosure of such an e-mail "may further embarrass" the agency "by evidencing its continued cozy relationship with PG&E and its lax oversight" of the utility.

The utilities commission refused to release any communication from Clanon regarding the PG&E case, saying agency officials have the right to keep such deliberative documents private. San Bruno countered that the exchanges cannot be kept secret under commission rules.

The city is also seeking any communications that commission President Michael Peevey has had with Wall Street analysts regarding PG&E's ability to pay a large fine.

San Bruno has made numerous other requests for state documents, including one seeking information about a $375,000 fine that the utilities commission imposed against PG&E in December. The commission soon rescinded the fine, for violations of gas-system record-keeping rules, after attorneys raised questions about its effect on the prospective fine against PG&E for the 2010 explosion.

Agency 'very busy'

When San Bruno asked for the documents last month, its suit said, the commission's public records attorney said the agency was "very busy" and would respond when staffers had free time.

"This response makes a mockery of the value of public participation" in government, the suit said.

San Bruno's relations with the utilities commission have been spiraling downward for months. City officials were outraged last year when the head of the agency's safety division suggested that the cost of PG&E's gas-system improvements were a sufficient penalty for the 2010 blast, and the mayor recently called for an independent monitor to make sure the commission is regulating PG&E effectively.

Source: http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/San-Bruno-sues-state-for-PG-amp-E-blast-documents-5201426.php



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[californiadisasters] On This Date In California Weather History (February 4)



2011: Strong offshore winds near Riverside were estimated at 65 mph.
A tree fell down on part of a building.

2008: Gusts of 82 mph in Baker tore part of the roof off an elementary school.  

2008: Felton recorded a low temperature of 21°. 

2008: A winter storm brought 1.91" of precipitation to Reno.

1998: Heavy rain that started on 2.3 and ended on this day dropped 3" of rainfall and caused flooding, mud slides and power outages across the region.
Strong storm winds gusted to 60 mph at Newport Harbor and 51 mph at San Clemente.

1990: Heavy rain in the San Bernardino area resulted in one death from flooding.
10"-13" of snow fell in the mountains.

1989: A winter storm dropped a mix of rain and snow over the south end of the San Joaquin Valley, including 2" of snow at Edison.
Meanwhile gusty winds whipped the Owens Valley where gusts over 100 mph were recorded in Inyokern causing around $500,000 in damage at the airport, including hangers.

1988: A dying subtropical storm system dropped four inches of rain in the mountains of San Diego County.
More than 4" fell in Imperial Beach in 24 hours and 3.71" in 8 hrs.
1.5" fell in Chula Vista, 1.25" fell in San Diego and less than an 1" fell in other parts of San Diego County.
Standing water was five feet deep in some intersections.
Some homes were flooded with three to six feet of water. $0.5 million in damage occurred.
50 homes in Imperial Beach were flooded.
30 families were displaced by flooded homes.
Power outages and road closures also resulted.

1987: Five to six foot waves hit the coast.
Large surf inundated Seacoast Dr. in Imperial Beach.
A man and his son were swept off Sunset Cliffs and died.

1985: On 2.3 and on this day tornadoes hit the San Diego neighborhoods of Tierrasanta and Allied Gardens.
Eight mobile homes were damaged as well as other property.
Funnel clouds were observed at Brown Field.

1985: Up to 2" of snow fell in Palm Springs.

1979: 56" of snow fell in Big Bear Lake from 1/31 to this day, the greatest storm snowfall on record.

1976: A heavy rain period that began on this day ended on 2.10.
4.30" of rain fell in San Diego.
Strong storm winds hit 64 mph at Palmdale.

1958: A heavy rain storm drenched San Bernardino with nearly 4" on 2.3 and on this day.
Almost two inches fell in Redlands.
Warm Creek overflowed with ash blackened water near Tippencoe Av.
More debris washed into the Del Rosa area. A bad flood occurred in Fontana.

1955: Pismo Beach sets a monthly record low of 29°.

1953: It was 79° in Idyllwild, the highest temperature on record for February.

1914: The morning low temperature at Bridgeport was -14°.

1905: Heavy rains from this day to 2.6 caused the San Diego River to run for the first time in six years.
4.23" fell in San Diego in 43 hours.

1899: Cedarville had a morning low of -13°.

1873: A snowstorm that started on 1/30 and ended on 2/3 piled up 44" at Grass Valley – Lake Arrowhead.
On this day 30" of snow fell.

Source: NWS Hanford, Reno, San Francisco/Monterey, Las Vegas, & San Diego

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Monday, February 3, 2014

[californiadisasters] Concern grows over possibility of massive power surge



The ranks of those concerned that the country is on a collision course with a dangerous electromagnetic surge have increased considerably of late.

of Tribune Washington Bureau

February 3, 2014

FREDERICK, Md. — Roscoe Bartlett was rattling off the prices of giant bags of rice, wheat and corn, sold cheap at Sam's Club. The former congressman from rural, western Maryland expressed bewilderment that every American doesn't stockpile such things, considering what he is sure is coming.

"Storing enough calories isn't really a challenge," said the rugged 87-year-old Republican, who served 10 terms on Capitol Hill. "The real challenge is vitamins and stuff."

Bartlett is preparing for an epic power outage. More than the lights would go out, he fears. All electronics could malfunction. Cars might not run. GPS systems would fail. Generators would be of no use, as gas pumps would stop working. The disruption could last a year or more. There would be looting, rioting, a general societal collapse.

Related: Research on the length of California droughts

It will be caused, he says, by a surge of magnetic current that fries the power grid and wreaks havoc on all electronics. Either a solar storm will trigger it, he says, or a terrorist act.

The scenario seems purely one of science fiction, and, in fact, many analysts dismiss as over-wrought the scenes of devastation sketched out by the former congressman and fellow believers.

But the ranks of those concerned that the country is on a collision course with a dangerous electromagnetic surge have increased considerably of late. Long the preserve of hawkish conservatives — notably former House Speaker Newt Gingrich — the idea that the power system is at risk has been drawing a wider audience. Regulators have begun scrambling to put a plan in place.

"We definitely think this is a risk," said Trevor Maynard, head of exposure management at Lloyd's of London. "It is one of those hazards you just know is going to happen, just like you know a major Miami hurricane will happen."

Of course, the fact that a massive hurricane will hit Miami — or a major earthquake will strike Southern California — hasn't stopped millions of people from flocking to those areas.

For government officials, few problems are tougher than deciding how best to head off rare, but potentially devastating, event risks. Do too much and you impose unreasonable costs and hurt the economy in response to a problem that might not happen for centuries. Do too little and you add to a list of unheeded disaster warnings that includes the risk of storm surges in New Orleans and tsunamis in the Indian Ocean.

In the case of electronic pulses, the most sober warnings come from government weather scientists.

Surge: Roscoe BartlettGetty Images: Washington post

Roscoe Bartlett, former Maryland congressman

At a recent conference in Washington, William Murtagh of the federal Space Weather Prediction Center described the dangers of a massive solar storm that is, as the Lloyd's report on the issue says, "almost inevitable."

Such storms take place roughly every 150 years. The last one was 155 years ago.

During the "Carrington event" of 1859 — named after the English astronomer who observed it — a huge solar storm ejected a mass of particles and electromagnetic energy intense enough to induce a surge that knocked out the switching system of the New York Central Railroad below 125th Street and caused the control tower to catch fire. News reports told of telegraph wires going berserk.

But electricity was hardly the backbone of society in pre-Civil War America. Scientists fear such an occurrence now could cause chaos.

A preview of the potential damage came in 1989, when the Hydro-Quebec power grid in Canada collapsed in less than two minutes from a solar storm. Six million people were without power for nine hours.

A bigger event could knock out multiple transformers — so many, perhaps, that backup systems would be overwhelmed. Replacing them could take months.

Lloyd's is uncertain whether the impact of a solar-storm-induced magnetic pulse would be cataclysmic. But its worst-case scenario would truly be: 20 million to 40 million Americans losing electricity for as long as a year or two, "resulting in major and widespread social unrest, riots and theft."

A year and a half ago, America came close — at least in astronomical terms — to finding out what could happen. In July 2012, a massive ejection from a solar storm headed toward Earth. The storm was the size of Carrington's. It missed Earth's orbital position by seven days.

That was a wake-up call, said Daniel Baker, director of the Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics at the University of Colorado, Boulder.

At a San Francisco meeting of the American Geophysical Union in December, Baker proposed the government take the data collected from the 2012 event and use it to create a kind of geomagnetic "war games" to simulate the effects of a huge solar flare, "rather than waiting to be clobbered by a direct hit."

Congress has taken note, as has the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which has asked utilities to assess their vulnerabilities and come up with plans.

Many in Congress want to go further, pushing measures to force utilities to update their systems. Congressional investigators have warned that in a major crisis, the "mutual assistance agreements" under which utilities help each other in disasters would fall apart.

Supporters of the legislation, which passed the House in 2010 but died in the Senate, have suggested requiring utilities to keep more spare transformers and other equipment on hand. They also want utilities to install "blocking capacitors" and other devices to shield key equipment.

In Quebec, the government invested $1.2 billion installing such devices after the 1989 blackout. The cost to U.S. utilities would be substantially more, given the size and complexity of the American power grid.

Across the border in Maine, lawmakers who grew impatient waiting for Congress to pass a bill have gone ahead with their own measure requiring utility action. Other states are pondering similar bills.

Utilities have resisted such major investments, opting instead for a strategy focused on shifting power loads to soften the blow to the grid in the event of an extreme solar storm.

In Congress, the effort has drawn unusual bipartisan backing, including many tea party Republicans as well as liberals such as Rep. Henry A. Waxman, D-Calif., whose staff co-wrote a report concluding that power companies are unprepared.

"This has become a strange alliance," said Peter Pry, a former CIA analyst at the forefront of lobbying efforts to "harden" the grid.

"I am a tea party Republican who does not like big government. But people like me who are genetically anti-government are nonetheless trying to expand its regulatory powers to do something about this."

The tea party interest stems largely from the efforts of people including Gingrich, Bartlett and former CIA Director James Woolsey, who have spent years warning of the danger, not of a solar flare but of a similar electromagnetic pulse caused by a terrorist.

In theory, a terrorist group with a nuclear weapon could unleash a high-altitude explosion that would create a pulse large enough to mimic the impact of a massive solar storm.

"An attack of this sort is much easier than most nuclear attacks people talk about," Woolsey said at the same conference where Murtagh spoke. "People say, 'The North Koreans, Iranians, whoever, are not crazy. There would be retaliation. Let's forget about this.' I don't think so."

Others have their doubts.

"The capacity we have to model out the effects of this kind of attack is very limited," said Jeffrey Lewis, a nonproliferation scholar at the Monterey institute of International Studies. "People are saying these outlandish things that are not related to data. You get skeptical of them really quick."

Lewis believes the doomsday scenarios are being peddled in the interest of other agendas, such as promoting missile defense systems and early strikes on Iran and North Korea.

As that debate plays out, Bartlett, the former congressman, is holding out hope that Congress or the states will ultimately force utilities to do more. In the meantime, he offers this advice: Get over to Sam's Club.

Source: http://news.msn.com/in-depth/concern-grows-over-possibility-of-massive-power-surge



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[Geology2] The BOINC app is out for Android





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[Geology2] Warring trolls explanation for mysterious basalt pillars revised



Warring trolls explanation for mysterious basalt pillars revised

Clusters of moss-covered, two-meter-tall basalt pillars in Iceland’s Skaelingar Valley remain from the Laki lava flow of 1783.

Credit: 

Tracy Gregg

The exterior of a freestanding individual basalt pillar.

Credit: 

Tracy Gregg

Peculiar basalt pillars found in Iceland — attributed in local lore to a pair of angry trolls hurling projectiles at each other — are having their origin story updated. In a rare example of nonexplosive lava-water interactions occurring on land, the hollow pillars likely formed around vertical columns of steam and superheated water venting through lava as it flowed over saturated ground, according to a new study.

The pillars, roughly 40 in all measuring up to about 2.5 meters tall and 1.5 meters wide, are scattered around Skaelingar Valley, where a tributary flows into the Skafta River near Iceland’s southern coast. Upright and mostly intact, some pillars stand on their own while others form conjoined clusters sharing moss-covered basalt roofs. Several of the pillars are broken open, allowing a cross-sectional view of their thick walls and narrow central conduits, tens of centimeters in diameter.

“It’s almost an otherworldly experience to see these things for the first time because they’re just not very common features,” says Tracy Gregg, a volcanologist at the University at Buffalo, who along with graduate student Kenneth Christle documented the pillars in the Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. Gregg, who in the past has observed underwater lava pillars (while aboard the Alvin research submersible) that had formed as molten rock and geothermally heated water spewed from mid-ocean ridges, says that the Skaelingar features are reminiscent of these deep-sea formations.

They are also similar to so-called lava trees found in Hawaii — hollow basalt cylinders that formed when lava flowed through a forest, cooling on contact with tree trunks that were incinerated in the process. “But we know that that’s not what [the pillars] are in Iceland because when this lava flow erupted, there were no trees in Iceland,” Gregg says.

According to Gregg and Christle’s explanation, when the Skafta River Gorge became blocked during the Laki eruption of 1783, the lava that had been flowing from nearby fissures through the gorge began backing up into smaller tributary valleys like the Skaelingar. As lobes of molten rock pushed up the valley, the saturated ground surface heated rapidly. Steam and hot water rising through small gaps between lobes formed geysers, around which the lava that kept pouring past quickly cooled, solidified and gradually thickened. Then, once the blockage in the main gorge broke, the still-molten portion of lava in Skaelingar flowed back down the valley, leaving the hardened pillars and fragments of the crust that had formed on top of the flow in its wake.

The whole process probably occurred over just a few hours to days, and required the right mix of conditions for the pillars to form, Gregg and Christle suggested, noting that they aren’t found in the other nearby valleys flooded by the Laki eruption. If the lava flow had been too thick or moving too fast, steam wouldn’t have been able to escape through it, thus preventing pillars from forming, Gregg says. This may explain why those in the Skaelingar occur around the valley margins, where the Laki flow was probably thinner and moving slower than in the center of the valley, she says, noting a similar trend at mid-ocean ridges where pillars tend to form around the edges of troughs where lava pools.

Additionally, the fact that the pillars are preserved intact indicates that the lava-water interactions were nonexplosive, a rarity in terrestrial volcanic settings. “Normally, when we think of lava coming in contact with water, we think of that water flashing to steam and causing an explosion,” Gregg says. “Here’s an example where … you could’ve stood right there and watched it.”

http://www.earthmagazine.org/article/warring-trolls-explanation-mysterious-basalt-pillars-revised
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[Geology2] Odds and ends





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[californiadisasters] Earthquake upgrades nearly complete at Los Angeles County dams



Earthquake upgrades nearly complete at Los Angeles County dams

By Peter Fullam, Whittier Daily News

Posted: 02/03/14, 7:07 PM PST | Updated: 45 secs ago

LOS ANGELES >> Deep inside the Big Tujunga Dam in northern Los Angeles County, in a gallery just above the riverbed, engineer Michele Chimienti stands between the yellowish concrete face of the old dam and new light-gray concrete of the dam’s reinforcement wall.

“This dam can handle an 7.5-magnitude earthquake,” she says.

Four decades after the 1971 Sylmar earthquake prompted the state to invoke stringent standards for dams to withstand earthquakes, the Los Angeles County Department of Public Works is nearing completion of seismic rehab work on the county’s 14 major flood control dams.

The $94.8 million Big Tujunga seismic rehabilitation and spillway modification project was completed in July 2012. It was followed by a $2 million project to construct a riser — a reinforcement — on the Santa Anita Dam, completed in 2013.

There’s still valve and spillway work to finish on the Santa Anita Dam, work to seismically reinforce the Santa Anita Debris Basin Dam, seismic modification on the Eaton Wash Dam set for completion this month, and a study to determine whether work should be done on the Puddingstone Dam in Bonelli Regional Park.

The work should be wrapping up in 2016, according to Keith Lilley, principal engineer with the Department of Public Works, Water Resources Division.

Another operator of dams in Los Angeles County, the Army Corps of Engineers, is planning structural repairs for one of the four dams it owns and operates in the county, the Whittier Narrows Dam, which is at risk for overtopping or springing leaks in the event of a major storm – a once every 200 years event.

“Right now, we’re looking at completing the dam safety modification study in early 2016,” said Kathy Anderson, Whittier Narrows Dam Safety Modification Study Project Manager. “Shovels will be hitting the ground around late 2018 to early 2019.”

The flood control dams in the county serve a secondary role in water conservation. However, dams under seismic restrictions imposed by the state can’t fulfill the water conservation levels for which they were designed.

As Lilley explained in a series of interviews by telephone and email, a dam operating under a restriction may be required by the state to keep the reservoir at a level no greater than half full, or less in some cases.

During a large storm, the dam still will be filled.

“We can’t stop storm runoff from the mountains,” Lilley said.

The dam will be operated for flood control, with flood gates and valves opening to make controlled releases.

However, at the end of the storm, with the dam full or partially full, the department must quickly empty the water to the 50 percent level to meet the restriction requirement. Releasing the water into the ocean compromises the dam’s role in water conservation.

“If we are able to hold that water at the dam until there is capacity in the downstream spreading grounds, the water can percolate into the groundwater table,” said Lilley.

It can be pumped up later by water companies for local water consumption.

But the seismic restrictions have been necessary for safety, the engineer explained.

The higher the water level behind the dam, the more pressure on the dam. The force of the water combined with the force of an earthquake could exceed the strength of the dam.

The restrictions prevent the sudden release of water if the upper portions of a dam are not strong enough for a major earthquake.

“Upgrading the dams to the current very high standards prevents such an unlikely, but possible, dangerous event from occurring,” said Lilley.

The beginning of seismic restrictions can be traced to the 6.6 magnitude ‘71 Sylmar earthquake, which caused about $505 million damage in the San Fernando Valley area.

The quake almost felled the Van Norman Dam in Granada Hills. Officials ordered an evacuation downstream, affecting 80,000 people. Huge chunks of the dam fell off, leaving a gap only a few feet above the water level. Fortunately, the dam was only half full. A dam failure could have claimed more than 80,000 lives, a UCLA study later found.

The Pacoima Dam also sustained major damage, and three other dams had minor damage.

“After the ‘71 Sylmar earthquake, there was a whole different understanding of the seismic impacts on these large dam structures,” said Lilley. “The state, which oversees them, basically said you need to prove they’re safe under current standards or we’re going to put restrictions on them.”

The dams must to be able to withstand a “maximum credible earthquake,” the biggest earthquake that geologists think a particular earthquake fault can produce.

Initially, the department of public works conducted an analysis of all its dams and made modifications to the dams that required minimal upgrades.

But it wasn’t until after the 1994 Northridge Earthquake that the county seismic rehab project took off.

“After the 1994 earthquake, we began designing and implementing the more substantial rehabilitations to the remaining dams” that didn’t meet seismic standards, said Lilley.

Since 1994, the department has spent more than $165 million on dam rehabilitations for its Devil’s Gate, Big Dalton, Pacoima, San Gabriel, Sawpit, Thompson Creek, Eaton and Big Tujunga dams.

The department also plans to strengthen the Santa Anita Debris Dam, a 56-foot-high earth embankment dam downstream from the Santa Anita Dam, to meet the seismic requirements. That will allow the dam to hold more water for conservation.

In it’s final seismic strengthening project, the department is currently conducting geophysical tests at the Puddingstone Dam, a 147-foot-high earth and rockfill dam with a 250-acre reservoir that is a popular recreational attraction in Bonelli Regional Park. The analysis will determine whether any upgrades are needed, said Lilley.

“Our Reanalysis and Rehabilitation Program of our major dams should be wrapping up in 2016 with the completion of work at Santa Anita Dam and Santa Anita Debris Dam,” said Lilley.

“However, we are also looking at all of the auxiliary components on the dams, such as the inlet and outlet works, valves and gates,” he said.

That program is ongoing, he said.

The 56-year-old Whittier Narrows Dam, with about 1 million people downstream, is at risk of being undermined or overtopped during a major storm, Army Corps of Engineers studies have determined.

“After almost 60 years of settlement and damage from seismic events, the corps has determined that the Whittier Narrows Dam has a high risk of failure due to significant seismic, seepage and hydrologic issues,” said a corps statement.

Of the more than 600 dams the corps owns and operates, the Whittier Narrows Dam was determined to in the top 20 in need of repairs, said Douglas E. Chitwood, a senior engineer with the corps.

“It made the top 20 because there are very few dams with a million people downstream,” Chitwood added. “The concern is not that the dam fails, they’re concerned about the consequences should something happen.”

Chitwood said that after Hurricane Katrina devastated New Orleans, the corps began evaluating the structural risk of its dams.

A 2005 risk assessment found the 3-mile-long earth and rock Whittier Narrows Dam was at risk for overtopping, or springing leaks under the dam or through its wall.

There’s no immediate danger of the dam breaching, the corps said. (There’s no water behind the dam, currently.)

However, in the extremely unlikely event the dam failed while it was full, and the highest it’s ever been is just over half full, the consequences would extend all the way to Long Beach, said Greg Peacock, hydraulic engineer. The depth of the water would vary greatly depending on location, but in some areas it could be 10 feet deep.

A 2008 study confirmed that a heavy storm could wash away part of the dam.

However, no storm has come close to filling the 54-foot-high dam since it was completed in 1957. The highest level was recorded in a January 1969 storm when the water level reached 29.5 feet, The spillway gates don’t open until the pool level reaches 44.5 feet.

“Even in 1969, the pool was well short of causing a significant spillway flow event,” said a corps statement.

The corps is currently preparing to take the first step in the repair of the dam, preparing a Draft Environmental Impact Statement for the project.

The statement will identify and evaluate ways to correct the dams deficiencies.

Possible remedies include:

• Raising the dam by 5 feet;

• Building a weir or a barrier in the embankment to allow water to flow over the weir in the event of small floods;

• Placing a fuseplug, or a spillway, by taking out a section of the of the embankment and filling it with a concrete wall that would break at a lower elevation of water;

• Removing sediment and deepening the Santa Fe Dam Basin, which is upstream of the Whittier Narrows Dam, to increase upstream holding capacity.

“We are studying very carefully atmospheric conditions and updating them to state of the art,” said Brian Dela-Barre, dam safety program manager. “Originally, the dam design considered what they thought would be the highest possible maximum flood.

“That information has been updated,” he said. “If the stars aligned, theoretically, we could get an awful lot of water down there. So now the corps is developing a response to that improved information.”


Source: http://www.dailynews.com/environment-and-nature/20140203/earthquake-upgrades-nearly-complete-at-los-angeles-county-dams



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