Sunday, August 3, 2014

[Geology2] Scientists discover vast methane plumes escaping from Arctic seafloor



More of what Eman discussed in his last post...

Lin

Scientists discover vast methane plumes escaping from Arctic seafloor

Scientists aboard the icebreaker Oden observe a methane mega flare.

Mega methane event.  Image via University of Stockholm via Daily Kos.

Methane mega flare event on the Laptev Sea slope of the Arctic Ocean, at a depth of about 62 meters. Image via Daily Kos via University of Stockholm.

An international team of scientists aboard the icebreaker Oden – currently north of eastern Siberia, in the Arctic Ocean – is working primarily to measure methane emissions from the Arctic seafloor. On July 22, 2014, only a week into their voyage, the team reported "elevated methane levels, about 10 times higher than background seawater." They say the culprit in this release of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, may be a tongue of relatively warm water from the Atlantic Ocean, the last remnants of the Gulf Stream, mixing into the Arctic Ocean. A press release from University of Stockholm described the discovery as:

… vast methane plumes escaping from the seafloor of the Laptev continental slope. These early glimpses of what may be in store for a warming Arctic Ocean could help scientists project the future releases of the strong greenhouse gas methane from the Arctic Ocean.

The scientists refer to the plumes as methane mega flares.

Click here to see where the icebreaker Oden is right now.

SWERUS expedition preliminary cruise plan and study areas of Leg 1 and 2. EEZ=Exclusive Economic Zone; LR=Lomonosov Ridge; MR=Mendeleev Ridge; HC=Herald Canyon; NSI=New Siberian Islands. Image via Daily Kos via University of Stockholm.

Expedition of the icebreaker Oden – called the SWERUS expedition – preliminary cruise plan and study areas of Leg 1 and 2. EEZ=Exclusive Economic Zone; LR=Lomonosov Ridge; MR=Mendeleev Ridge; HC=Herald Canyon; NSI=New Siberian Islands. Image via Daily Kos via University of Stockholm.

On July 22, 2014, chief scientist Örjan Gustafsson of the University of Stockholm wrote about the methane mega flare event in his blog. He wrote:

So, what have we found in the first couple of days of methane-focused studies?

1) Our first observations of elevated methane levels, about ten times higher than in background seawater, were documented already as we climbed up the steep continental slope at stations in 500 and 250 meter depth. This was somewhat of a surprise. While there has been much speculation of the vulnerability of regular marine hydrates [frozen methane formed due to high pressure and low temperature] along the Arctic rim, very few actual observations of methane releases due to collapsing Arctic upper slope marine hydrates have been made. ¨

It has recently been documented that a tongue of relatively warm Atlantic water, with a core at depths of 200–600 meters may have warmed up some in recent years. As this Atlantic water, the last remnants of the Gulf Stream, propagates eastward along the upper slope of the East Siberian margin, our SWERUS-C3 program is hypothesizing that this heating may lead to destabilization of upper portion of the slope methane hydrates. This may be what we now for the first time are observing.

2) Using the mid-water sonar, we mapped out an area of several kilometers where bubbles were filling the water column from depths of 200 to 500 meters. During the preceding 48 hours we have performed station work in two areas on the shallow shelf with depths of 60-70m where we discovered over 100 new methane seep sites. SWERUS-C3 researchers have on earlier expeditions documented extensive venting of methane from the subsea system to the atmosphere over the East Siberian Arctic Shelf. On this Oden expedition we have gathered a strong team to assess these methane releases in greater detail than ever before to substantially improve our collective understanding of the methane sources and the functioning of the system. This is information that is crucial if we are to be able to provide scientific estimations of how these methane releases may develop in the future.

While not as long-lasting in the atmosphere as carbon dioxide, methane is much more effective than carbon dioxide at trapping heat. Glaciologist Jason Box, in a recent and fascinating blog post (Is the climate dragon awakening?) said:

Atmospheric methane release is a much bigger problem than atmospheric carbon dioxide release, since methane is ~20 times more powerful greenhouse gas.

Methane has the potential to create a feedback loop in global warming. That is, as Earth's climate warms, methane that is frozen in reservoirs stored in Arctic tundra soils – or marine sediments – may be released into the atmosphere. It does not last long in the atmosphere (on the order of years, rather than centuries as with carbon dixoide). But its release will cause more warming, which will cause more methane to be released, replenishing that in the atmosphere … causing more warming and more methane release and so on.

Methane release from the Arctic Ocean is not a new phenomenon; after all, the Stockholm scientists were there to measure it. U.S. scientists have observed Arctic Ocean methane release, too. For example, NASA reported in April 2012 on a study in which scientists measured surprising levels of methane coming from cracks in Arctic sea ice and areas of partial sea ice cover. In 2013, Shakova et al (2013) suggested that:

… significant quantities of methane are escaping the East Siberian Shelf as a result of the degradation of submarine permafrost over thousands of years. We suggest that bubbles and storms facilitate the flux of this methane to the overlying ocean and atmosphere, respectively.

Glaciologist Jason Box, in his recent blog post, pointed out that methane release tends to come in spikes, which he calls "dragon's breath."

Jason Box said in his blog:

Jason Box published the chart above in his blog. It shows a possible methane spike. Box said: "A reasonable hypothesis for the outliers [apparent high measurements of methane, which Box calls 'dragon's breath'] … would be: extreme outlying positive anomalies represent high methane concentration plumes emanating from tundra and/or oceanic sources. Another reasonable hypothesis would be: extreme outlying positive anomalies represent observational errors. What NOAA states: the outliers 'are thought to be not indicative of background conditions, and represent poorly mixed air masses influenced by local or regional anthropogenic sources or strong local biospheric sources or sinks.' Fair enough. But the dragon breath hypothesis has me losing sleep."

Bubbles of methane rising up through Arctic seawater.  Image via University of Stockholm.

Methane bubbles discovered on Laptev continental slope of Arctic Ocean by the science team aboard the icebreaker Oden. Image via University of Stockholm.

On July 23, Ulf Hedman – who is aboard the Oden and who is Science Coordinator for the Swedish Polar Research Secretariat – gave a vivid description of the discovery in his blog:

We are 'sniffing' methane. We see the bubbles on video from the camera mounted on the CTD or the Multicorer. All analysis tells the signs. We are in a [methane] mega flare. We see it in the water column we read it above the surface an we follow it up high into the sky with radars and lasers. We see it mixed in the air and carried away with the winds. Methane in the air. Where does it come from? Is it from the old moors and mosses that used to be on dry land but now has sunken into the sea. Does it come from the deep interior of the Earth following structures in the bedrock up into the sand filled reservoirs collecting oil and gas then leaking out upwards, as bubbles through the sea bed into the water, into the mid-water sonar, the Niskin bottles the analysis and into our results?

Where does the methane come from? Is it organic or not? What's the volume? How much is carried up into the air? Is there an effect on the climate? One mega flare does not tell the truth. It's not evidence enough.

We carry on for the next station.

And the next, and next, next…

Bottom line: A team of international scientists aboard the icebreaker Oden has documented "elevated methane levels, about ten times higher than in background seawater" in the Arctic Ocean. They are calling it a methane mega flare event and express hopes it will help them project future releases of the strong greenhouse gas methane from the Arctic Ocean, and to understand the role this released methane might play in global warming.

Follow the SWERUS-C3 expedition – @SWERUSC3 – on Twitter.

Mystery crater in Yamal peninsula probably caused by methane release

http://earthsky.org/earth/scientists-discover-vast-methane-plumes-escaping-from-arctic-seafloor?utm

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Posted by: Lin Kerns <linkerns@gmail.com>



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Saturday, August 2, 2014

[californiadisasters] 2 crashes minutes apart injure 40 in San Francisco



2 crashes minutes apart injure 40 in San Francisco; sounded 'like an earthquake'

Published August 02, 2014

SAN FRANCISCO –  Forty people were injured and more than half of them hospitalized in two separate San Francisco transit collisions just minutes apart -- a bus and a dump truck crashed then a light-rail train and a tractor-trailer collided across town.

The San Francisco Municipal Railway bus and the dump truck collided at about 1:30 p.m. Friday in the Japantown neighborhood, leaving the bus with a smashed windshield. Twenty people were examined at the scene and a dozen of them went to hospitals, including one with serious injuries, fire spokeswoman Jennifer Balestrieri said. Five had moderate injuries and six minor injuries. All of the injured were bus passengers, Municipal Transportation Agency spokesman Paul Rose said. The two drivers weren't hurt.

Less than 10 minutes later, a Muni light-rail train collided with a tractor-trailer in the Bayview neighborhood. The train was derailed but its two cars remained upright.

Television reports showed the truck cab and trailer sitting at right angles, with the train squeezed between and its front pushed up against the cab.

Nine people were taken to hospitals with minor and moderate injuries, and 11 others were examined but declined to be taken to a hospital, authorities said.

Investigators told the San Francisco Chronicle that the big rig made an illegal left turn. However, the driver was not immediately cited, Officer Albie Esparza said.

Light-rail passenger Robert Williams said he suffered neck and shoulder pain.

Williams told the Chronicle that the train was full of passengers and had been slowing down as it pulled into a stop.

"The next thing you know, I heard a loud screech and the train came to a sudden stop," Williams said. "It was like an earthquake. Lots of people fell down."

Both accidents were under investigation.

A San Francisco light-rail train crashed into another city light-rail train in July 2009, injuring 46 passengers and the operators of both vehicles. Federal investigators concluded that the driver of one of the trains had lost consciousness.

Also Friday, a light-rail train collided with a van in Seattle, injuring five people. A 6-year-old boy was taken to a children's hospital in stable condition while the others went to a hospital with minor injuries, KOMO reported.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2014/08/02/2-crashes-minutes-apart-injure-40-in-san-francisco-sounded-like-earthquake/
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Posted by: Lin Kerns <linkerns@gmail.com>


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[californiadisasters] OT: FS: Pro-96 Trunking Scanner




For Sale:  Radio Shack (GRE rebranded) Pro-96 Trunking Scanner  (portable model) $275 OBO (list was $499) with:

Original packaging
Owner manual
stock mobile whip (BNC rubber duck)
stock two battery packs (one for AA, once for NiCad AA charged via the radio)
* 9 V adapter to vehicle power port cable (cigar lighter)
* AC power cube, with appropriate adapter

* added, not stock

Currently programmed for El Dorado Fire/Law, MERA (Marin county) fire/LE, CHP (All CA), CDF (All), Sac County Fire/LE, NPS, BLM, USFS and more.
Other program loads installed (V-Scanner) and available via email or CD upon sale.

Reviews and owner manuals are available on line.

Primary features:
  • Multi-line text display
  • 10 banks of 50 channels, each bank may have a unique name
  • Conventional AM/FM frequencies, each memory channel with a text label
  • CTCSS or DCS tone decoding
  • P25 3600/9600 bps analog or digital decoding and trunk tracking (**Including** the rebanded channels, requires software programming)
  • EDACS Trunk tracking
  • SAME/FIPS Weather Priority Alert
  • V-Scanner - Can store up to 10 different programming loads (the entire 500 channels for different users/areas), quick transfer into the current scan memory
  • Software, cloning or front panel programmable (software required for 700/800 MHz rebanded or special trunking tables and scanning ranges)
  • 25-54 MHz *
  • 108-136.9875 MHz *
  • 137-174 MHz *
  • 216-225 MHz *
  • 406-512 MHz *
  • 806-823.9875 MHz *
  • 849-960 MHz
  • 1240-1300 MHz

* The software enables expanded frequency ranges, it WILL cover the new 700 MHz trunking band (and the military 300 MHz ranges at reduced sensitivity).

The Pro-96 has been used in a non-smoking mobile environment, has a few minor scuffs and dings but is fully operational (needs new NiCads).

If you also want a table top (or under dash) Pro-2096 model, the PAIR of scanners are available for $500 (firm) and I'll add in the programming cable.  The table model has never been used mobile and is in pristine condition, with original packaging and contents.

The Pro-2096 (desk) is NOT available until the Pro-96 (portable) has been sold.

Please contact me DIRECT (off list) to HappyMoosePhoto@gmail.com if you are interested.  Local delivery is available. 



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Posted by: Rick Bates <happymoosephoto@gmail.com>


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[californiadisasters] Emergency Manager’s Weekly Report 8-1-14



Hello Everyone,

 

This week's edition is now available at:

https://sites.google.com/site/emergencymanagersweeklyreport/home

 

Emergency Manager's Weekly Report

  • Introduction and Contributions (Page 3)
  • Executive Summary (Page 6)
  • Emergency Management (Page 15)       
  • Homeland Security, Defense and National Security (Page 17)         
  • Campus Safety and Security (Page 19)
  • Access/Functional Needs (Page 20)
  • Technological and Natural Hazards (Page 21)
  • Public Safety Communications (Page 23)
  • Emergency Services (Page 24)
  • Other (Page 26)
  • Syrian Civil War and Iraqi Unrest (Page 27)
  • Humanitarian Affairs and Global Security (Page 29)
  • Technological and Natural Hazards (Page 31)
  • International Affairs (Page 32)
  • Climate Change and Alternative Energy Sources (Page 33)
  • Reports (Page 34)
  • Resources (Page 35)

 

Special Report

  • U.S. Border Crisis and Humanitarian Situation (Page 8)
  • Ebola Outbreak (Page 9)
  • Gaza Unrest (Page 12)
  • MH17 Crash (Page 14)
  • Resources (Page 15)

 

Steve Detwiler

 



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Posted by: steveorange2003@yahoo.com


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Re: [californiadisasters] Ostensibly For Hawaii But Relevant In California, Too!

Good general knowledge. The most important item was "know what County (island) you are on". In general, know where you are so you can take appropriate action for earthquake, floods, fires, tornadoes - whether to take cover immediately or that you have time to evacuate. Situational awareness goes a long way towards your survival as well as being properly provisioned. I usually carry a Marine Band/WX radio with me so i can hear local conditions if a am having trouble receiving a local broadcast station when i travel through the States.

73,
kevin
kc6pob

Prepare for Earthquakes & Tsunamis
in Hawaii
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S7PHtsocXCA










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Posted by: kevin asato <kc6pob@yahoo.com>
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Re: [Geology2] Mystery crater in Yamal peninsula probably caused by methane release




This was not the hole I was thinking about where the mine collapsed it is near lake Baktol further south.  

The pressures  at the depth of the hole does not allow for the formation of methane hydrate -- solid methane like is found in deep sea deposits.  However If the permafrost developed fissures  it could release methane built up over eons.  No one has mentioned the  formation of the side cavern which can be seen in some of the videos.  Interesting to watch new geology in real time!

Eman



From: "Lin Kerns linkerns@gmail.com [geology2]" <geology2@yahoogroups.com>
To:
Sent: Friday, August 1, 2014 3:18 PM
Subject: [Geology2] Mystery crater in Yamal peninsula probably caused by methane release

 
Jul 31, 2014

Mystery crater in Yamal peninsula probably caused by methane release

Thawing permafrost likely allowed methane gas to be released, creating the large hole in permafrost found in northern Russia, says the Russian team that investigated it.
The first mysterious crater spotted by helicopter in the Yamal region of northern Russia.  Image via Nature.
The first mysterious crater spotted by helicopter in the Yamal region of northern Russia. Image via Nature.
UPDATE July 31, 2014. Stories are popping up fast in various media this afternoon about a likely source of a reported, mysterious hole in permafrost in the Yamal region of northern Russia. This hole was spotted by a helicopter pilot in mid-July; reindeer herders reported a second hole some days later. Eric Holthaus of Slate said that there is now:
… new (and definitive) evidence … that the Siberian holes were created via methane released from warming permafrost.
The evidence has come via the journal Nature, which published a story on its website today (July 31) featuring the findings of Andrei Plekhanov, a senior researcher at the Scientific Centre of Arctic Studies in Salekhard, Russia, and his team. This is the team that was sent in to investigate the first hole shortly after it was found. Holthaus said:
That team measured methane concentrations up to 50,000 times standard levels inside the crater.
The story in Nature said:
Air near the bottom of the crater contained unusually high concentrations of methane — up to 9.6% — in tests conducted at the site on 16 July … Plekhanov, who led an expedition to the crater, says that air normally contains just 0.000179% methane …
Plekhanov and his team believe that it is linked to the abnormally hot Yamal summers of 2012 and 2013, which were warmer than usual by an average of about 5°C. As temperatures rose, the researchers suggest, permafrost thawed and collapsed, releasing methane that had been trapped in the icy ground.
Last week, the New York Times' Andrew Revkin interviewed a Russian scientist who had also visited the hole and came to similar conclusions.
This newly reported evidence, just coming to light today, seems particularly scary given the story earlier this week about what the University of Stockholm called "vast methane plumes" found by scientists aboard the icebreaker Oden, which is now exploring and measuring methane release from the floor of the Arctic Ocean.
Andrei Plekhanov, senior researcher at the Scientific Research Centre of the Arctic, stands at the first large crater, discovered recently in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug region of northern Russia.  Image via China Post.
Andrei Plekhanov, senior researcher at the Scientific Research Centre of the Arctic, stands at the first large crater, discovered recently in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug region of northern Russia. Image via China Post.
Helicopters found the first crater.  Reindeer herders report a second.  Photo of first crater via Siberian Times.
Helicopters found the first crater. Reindeer herders reported a second. Photo of first crater via Siberian Times.
The Moscow Times reported this week that reindeer herders in far northern Russia have found a second mysterious giant hole. According to these unconfirmed reports, the second hole is about 30 kilometers (20 miles) away from a first large and mysterious hole in the Russian permafrost, which made a big splash in social media after the Siberian Times reported it in mid-July 2014.
Last week, Russian scientists estimated the first hole, which has smooth sides and a lake at its bottom, to be around 30-60 meters wide (100-200 feet) wide. The second crater is said to be smaller than the first, only about 15 meters (50 feet) wide, and it's reported to be filled with snow.
Both craters (assuming two exist) are located within the permafrost of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Area (YNAO) of the Russian Arctic. Moscow Times said that both craters appear to have formed relatively recently.
In fact, according to the website Russia Behind the Headlines, the time of formation of the second crater might be known, from reports last year by reindeer herders. This website said the second crater might have formed in September 2013. Russia Behind the Headlines said:
News of the crater was first spread by local reindeer herders, who said a celestial body had fallen and then a flash had occurred on 27 September 2013 in this region (56 miles from the village of Antipayut).
A different reindeer herder only said that he saw smoke, haze, and then a flash.
The walls of the crater appear evenly cut.
Here is the first crater again. Its walls appear evenly cut, and there is water, from melting permafrost, cascading down their sides. Photo by Andrey-Naumenko via Siberian Times.
The crater, which is 70 meters deep, has an icy lake at its bottom.  Photo by Andrey-Naumenko via Siberian Times.
The first crater appears to be about 70 meters deep. It has an icy lake at its bottom. Photo by Andrey-Naumenko via Siberian Times.
Both Moscow Times and Russia Behind the Headlines seem to be favoring the idea that the mysterious holes in permafrost formed due to a geophysical process associated with global warming. Russia Behind the Headlines said:
The strange holes in the Earth found in the northern tundra on Russian territory in July could mean the beginning of irreversible changes in the climate of our planet. According to Russian scientists, the most likely reason for the formation of such holes is the emission of natural gas, which may be caused by global warming …
Glaciologists from the sub-Arctic research and study unit in Tyumen say that permafrost temperatures are rising steadily in the region of the Bovanenkovskoye gas field on the Yamal Peninsula in the Russian Arctic, near where the first hole was discovered. Forty years ago it was on average about eight degrees below zero, but now in certain areas it is only minus three.
Moscow Times said:
Scientists who examined the first hole theorized that it could have been created when a mixture of water, salt and gas exploded underground …
The area, which has one of Russia's richest deposits of natural gas, was covered by sea about 10,000 years ago, and vast salt deposits were left behind.
Moscow Times added that:
Global warming, causing an alarming melt in the ice under the soil, released gas causing an effect like the popping of a champagne cork.
Approximate location of mysterious craters in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Area (YNAO) in the Russian Arctic.
Approximate location of two reported large holes in the permafrost in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Area (YNAO) in the Russian Arctic.
Bottom line: A second mysterious crater has been found on the Yamal region of northern Russia, according to media reports.
http://earthsky.org/earth/second-mysterious-crater-reported-from-yamal?utm
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Posted by: MEM <mstreman53@yahoo.com>



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[Geology2] Fwd: BBC News - Massive landslide hits river near Nepal capital




​Vic shared this news with me this morning.​


Massive landslide hits river near Nepal capital

2 August 2014
Map

A massive landslide has buried dozens of homes in Nepal, with four people confirmed dead so far, say police.

The landslide has blocked the Sunkoshi river, east of the capital Kathmandu, forcing thousands of people to evacuate their homes and move to higher ground.

Officials said army technicians would be sent in to unblock the river and allow the water to run off.

There are fears that the death toll will rise, as rescue work continues in the district of Sindhupalchowk.

Sindhupalchowk is 120 kilometers (75 miles) east of Kathmandu.

The Arniko highway to Tibet has been closed.

Landslides are common during the June-September monsoon season in Nepal.





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Posted by: Lin Kerns <linkerns@gmail.com>



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