I have noted in recent years that when we get off to a strong start rain-wise we tend to fizzle down the stretch no matter how promising the start. What determines our having a good year or at least an average year has little to do with October-December and everything to do with January-March..... with the rare exception of cases like 1991's March Miracle where it all happened inside a few weeks relatively late in the season.
Kimmer
It's La Niña -- meaning below average season rainfall -- but not yet: downpour forecast beginning Thursday
San Jose Mercury News-12/15/10
By Mark Gomez
Just last week, weather scientists with the National Weather Service said we're in a La Niña season, meaning there is a good chance the Bay Area will see below average rainfall totals this season.
It certainly won't seem that way this weekend.
A series of storms packing strong winds is expected to pound the Bay Area beginning as early as tonight and could deliver as much as five inches of rain to the region, according to the National Weather Service.
Simply put, it's going to be "really, really wet," said Diana Henderson, a forecaster with the National Weather Service.
More:
http://www.mercurynews.com/top-stories/ci_16870239?nclick_check=1
--- In californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com, newnethboy <kef413@...> wrote:
>
> Actually, this is kind of unusual.
>
> Although, technically,
> ---------
> Pineapple Express (also known as Pineapple Connection) is a non-technical,
> shorthand term popular in the news media for a meteorological phenomenon
> which is characterized by a strong and persistent flow of atmospheric
> moisture and associated heavy rainfall from the waters adjacent to the
> Hawaiian Islands and extending to any location along the Pacific coast of
> North America.
> (Wikipedia)
> ---------
> Our "classic" SoCal Pineapple Express comes from south of HI and is
> characterized by warm temps and quite a bit of rainfall.
>
> This episode is coming from north of HI and is giving us (so far) only a
> "misting".
>
> Another unusual thing as I write is that the 0400 Jetstream report shows a
> Ridge down the West Coast, yet a dip in the Jetstream so that we ought to
> have a Trough.
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