Monday, August 1, 2011

[californiadisasters] SoCal & S.Sierra Fire Weather Outlook



Fire Weather Outlook

By Tom Rolinski, Predictive Services, Southern California Geographic Area Coordination Center

As of July 1, fuel moisture continues to hover at above average levels in the heavier fuels and high elevation sites, such as in the Sierra Nevada. With snow still melting, high elevation
sites in the Sierra will continue to exhibit above average fuels moisture, and below average large fire potential.

At lower elevations and across the urban interface regions, expect near average large fire potential. Some areas of southern California and the Sierra Foothills show high levels of fuel loading due to the above average rainfall received during this past winter. Expect active fire behavior during windy weather and when fuels and terrain align favorably. At this time, it is unclear if winter rains will arrive early as has been the case the past two years.

The thunderstorms of early July put fuel moistures above average at several locations in southern California, and they continue to run above average through the middle of the month.

Source: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/newsletter/current-newsletter.pdf

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