Tuesday, March 22, 2011

[Geology2] "Bogus claims by bullshitters about earthquakes !"

A correspondent writes:

"Bogus claims by bullshitters about earthquakes ! 

http://news.yahoo.com/s/livescience/20110321/sc_livescience/bogusclaimjapanearthquakewonttriggeracaliforniaquake    
 
These is not even a statistical correlation between these earthquakes,
much less a causal relationship. 
 
An unfounded scientific assertion by a nonscientist has swept across the
Web like a tsunami over the past few days. In an article in Newsweek,
writer Simon Winchester claimed that the 9.0-magnitude earthquake in
Japan, following close on the heels of recent quakes in New Zealand and
Chile, has ratcheted up the chances of a catastrophic seismic event
striking in California.
 
In his article, "The Scariest Earthquake Is Yet to Come," Winchester
pointed out that all three of those recent earthquakes occurred along
faults on the edge of the Pacific Plate – the giant tectonic puzzle
piece under the Pacific Ocean – and that this also butts up against
the North American plate along the San Andreas Fault. 
---------------------------------------------------------------------- 
Natually when it comes to the concept of "statistical correlation", Mr.
Winchester's rection to this is  duhhhhhhhhh !"
 
RB, :)

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