Sunday, November 15, 2015

Re: [californiadisasters] El Niño 'is here, and it is huge,' as officials rac...



We came close last week, a funnel cloud was spotted near south Sac.

Rick

On 11/15/2015 6:55 AM, 'jim rawls' jazzpiano@ca.rr.com [californiadisasters] wrote:
 

I'd like to put in a request for no twisters anywhere. I figure since the on slot of weather hasn't started yet, my request may be considered by the Weather Gods. Smile. Jim

 

From: californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com [mailto:californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com]
Sent: Sunday, November 15, 2015 6:24 AM
To: CaliforniaDisasters
Subject: Re: [californiadisasters] El Niño 'is here, and it is huge,' as officials rac...

 

 

"Unusual" is a term aptly applied to an El Nino event. As the article stated, in places all over the world, the weather has altered from the norm. Where I live in the US south, we've had a most unusually warm autumn, but it will change. My grandfather taught me to read nature when I was a kid, and believe me, change will come. In an El Nino winter, you have a lot of rain and hail, we have a lot of snow. The following spring, we generally get twisters.

Patience, Jason. Winter is coming.

Lin

 

 

On Sat, Nov 14, 2015 at 11:17 PM, Fizzboy7@aol.com [californiadisasters] <californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 

So far this El Nino has been another bust.   We are well into November and not one regular, soaking storm has hit SoCal yet.   They've all been "a chance of showers" or only enough spots to get the car dirty.   I know the bulk of our rain comes December-March, but we usually get something in Oct and Nov.   With the warm waters and all the hype, one would think at least one or two unique storms would have already brewed here.  Oh well.

 

Jason

 

In a message dated 11/14/2015 2:12:16 P.M. Pacific Standard Time, californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com writes:

 

El Niño 'is here, and it is huge,' as officials race to prep for winter

Rain in Boyle                                                        Heights in                                                        October

A passing storm gives way to a golden sunset as a pedestrian crosses the intersection of 1st Street and Boyle Avenue in Boyle Heights on Oct. 19, 2015. (Luis Sinco/Los Angeles Times)

(Luis Sinco / Los Angeles Times)

 

By Rong-Gong Lin II and Rosanna Xia | Los Angeles Times

November 14, 2015, 10:55 a.m.

l Niño continues to gain strength in the Pacific Ocean, climate experts said, with unusually wet conditions expected to hit California between January and March -- and perhaps into May.

The latest forecast increased the urgency for both government agencies and property owners to prepare for possible flooding.

Local flood control agencies are busy clearing out storm drains, catch basins and other waterways.

In Los Angeles, the California Department of Transportation is increasing its maintenance staff by 25% through the winter months to deal with El Niño. The agency is stockpiling sandbags, readying plows and earth-moving equipment, and pruning trees and brush.

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"January and February are just around the corner. If you think you should make preparations, get off the couch and do it now. These storms are imminent," said Bill Patzert, a climatologist for NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in La Canada Flintridge. "El Niño is here. And it is huge.... At this point, we're just waiting for the impacts in California."

El Nino rain                                                      forecast for                                                      California for the                                                      winter of 2016

Potential rain from El Nino.

The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center said El Niño is already strong and mature, and is forecast to continue gaining strength. It is expected to be among the three strongest on record since 1950.

Generally, El Niño doesn't peak in California until January, February and March, Patzert said. That's when Californians should expect "mudslides, heavy rainfall, one storm after another like a conveyor belt."

On Nov. 4, sea surface temperatures in a benchmark area of the Pacific Ocean west of Peru hit 5 degrees Fahrenheit above average, outpacing the abnormally warm temperatures seen at this time of year in 1997, which developed into the strongest El Niño on record.

El Nino of                                                        1997-98

The importance of the El Niño storm of 1997-1998 is now coming into focus as scientists say the weather pattern is returning to Southern California with a vengeance.

El Niño has already caused major effects across the world, fueling an active and unusually powerful hurricane season in the eastern Pacific Ocean, including Hurricane Patricia, which hit Mexico last month.

Chile, home to one of the world's driest deserts, is now blooming with flowers from unusually high rainfall. But in other regions, El Niño means drought, which is already being reported in Indonesia and the Philippines. Earlier this week, the United Nations Children's Fund warned that "11 million children are at risk from hunger, disease and lack of water due to El Niño in eastern and southern Africa alone."

Strongest El                                                      Niño on record                                                      brought more                                                      rainfall to downtown                                                      L.A.

On Thursday, the United Nations warned that more than 2 million people in Central America will need food aid due to a drought worsened by El Niño, which has caused significant failure in crop harvests. The storms that usually keep the jungles of southern Mexico and Central America wet shift northward to California and the southern United States during strong El Niño winters.

The Climate Prediction Center has forecast above-average precipitation for much of California between January and March.

Patzert said one of the upsides in the forecast is epic surfing. Past El Niños have brought winters that went down in surfing history, and "it was one great set after another," he said.

"But the other side of epic surf is battered beach communities. That's the flip side of it. The epic surf years also meant that beach communities were battered from Northern to Southern California."

Source: http://www.latimes.com/local/weather/la-me-el-nino-20151114-story.html




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Posted by: Rick WA6NHC <wa6nhc@gmail.com>


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