Re: [californiadisasters] El Niño 'is here, and it is huge,' as officials rac...

Here in Tehachapi, we've been hit by Flash flooding twice (August and October). That's something I've not seen since I moved here in 2003.
All that being said, the El Nino forecasts I've seen don't have the bulk of effects showing up until January/February... and possibly lasting until May 2016.
It may be one of those cases where you don't want to speak too soon. lol
Red in Tehachapi
--------------------------------------------
On Sun, 11/15/15, Rick WA6NHC wa6nhc@gmail.com [californiadisasters] <californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

Subject: Re: [californiadisasters] El Niño 'is here, and it is huge,' as officials rac...
To: californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com
Date: Sunday, November 15, 2015, 7:49 AM


 












We came close last week, a funnel cloud was spotted near
south Sac.



Rick



On 11/15/2015 6:55 AM,
'jim rawls'
jazzpiano@ca.rr.com
[californiadisasters] wrote:


 



I'd like to
put in a request for no twisters anywhere.
I figure
since the on slot of weather hasn't
started yet, my
request may be considered by the Weather
Gods. Smile.
Jim
 


From:
californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com
[mailto:californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com]


Sent: Sunday, November 15, 2015
6:24 AM

To: CaliforniaDisasters

Subject: Re:
[californiadisasters] El Niño
'is here, and it is huge,' as
officials rac...


 
 





"Unusual" is a term
aptly applied to an El Nino
event. As the
article stated, in places all
over the
world, the weather has altered
from the
norm. Where I live in the US
south, we've
had a most unusually warm
autumn, but it
will change. My grandfather
taught me to
read nature when I was a kid,
and believe
me, change will come. In an El
Nino winter,
you have a lot of rain and hail,
we have a
lot of snow. The following
spring, we
generally get twisters.



Patience, Jason.
Winter is coming.


Lin


 




 

On
Sat, Nov 14, 2015 at
11:17 PM, Fizzboy7@aol.com
[californiadisasters] <californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com>
wrote:

 





So
far this El Nino has
been another
bust.   We are well
into November
and not one regular,
soaking storm
has hit SoCal
yet.   They've all
been "a chance of
showers" or only
enough spots to get
the car
dirty.   I know the
bulk of our
rain comes
December-March, but we
usually get something
in Oct and
Nov.   With the warm
waters and
all the hype, one
would think at
least one or two
unique storms
would have already
brewed here. 
Oh well.


 


Jason


 



In
a message dated
11/14/2015
2:12:16 P.M. Pacific
Standard
Time, californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com
writes:


 




El
Niño 'is
here, and it is
huge,' as
officials race
to prep for
winter






A passing storm gives
way to a

golden sunset as
a
pedestrian

crosses the

intersection of
1st
Street and

Boyle Avenue in

Boyle Heights on
Oct.
19, 2015.

(Luis Sinco/Los

Angeles Times)
(Luis

Sinco / Los

Angeles Times)





 


By Rong-Gong Lin II
and Rosanna
Xia | Los
Angeles Times


November 14, 2015,
10:55 a.m.



l Niño
continues to gain
strength in
the Pacific
Ocean, climate
experts
said, with
unusually wet
conditions
expected to hit
California
between January
and March --
and perhaps
into May.

The latest forecast
increased the
urgency for
both
government
agencies and
property
owners to prepare
for possible
flooding.
Local flood control
agencies are
busy clearing
out storm
drains, catch
basins and
other
waterways.
In Los Angeles, the
California
Department of
Transportation
is
increasing its
maintenance
staff by 25%
through the
winter months
to deal with
El Niño. The
agency is
stockpiling
sandbags,
readying plows
and
earth-moving
equipment,
and pruning
trees and

brush.
Interested
in the
stories shaping

California? Sign up
for the
free Essential
California
newsletter

>>
"January and
February are just
around the
corner. If you
think you
should make
preparations,
get off the
couch and do
it now. These
storms are
imminent," said
Bill Patzert,
a
climatologist
for NASA's
Jet Propulsion
Laboratory
in La Canada
Flintridge.
"El Niño
is here. And it
is huge.... At
this point,
we're just
waiting for the
impacts in
California."





Potential rain from El
Nino.




The National
Weather
Service's
Climate
Prediction Center
said El Niño
is already
strong and
mature, and is
forecast to
continue
gaining
strength. It is
expected to be
among the
three
strongest on record
since
1950.
Generally, El Niño
doesn't peak in
California
until January,
February and
March,
Patzert said.
That's when
Californians
should expect

"mudslides, heavy
rainfall, one
storm after
another like a
conveyor

belt."
On Nov. 4, sea surface
temperatures
in a
benchmark area
of the
Pacific Ocean
west of Peru
hit 5 degrees
Fahrenheit
above average,
outpacing
the abnormally
warm
temperatures
seen at this
time of year
in 1997,
which
developed into the
strongest El
Niño on

record.







The importance of the
El Niño
storm
of 1997-1998
is now
coming into
focus
as

scientists say the

weather pattern is

returning to

Southern

California with a

vengeance.




El Niño has already
caused major
effects across
the world,
fueling an
active and
unusually
powerful
hurricane
season in the
eastern
Pacific Ocean,
including
Hurricane
Patricia,
which hit Mexico
last
month.
Chile, home to one of
the world's
driest
deserts, is now
blooming with
flowers from
unusually high
rainfall.
But in other
regions, El
Niño means
drought, which
is already
being reported
in Indonesia
and the
Philippines.
Earlier this
week, the
United Nations
Children's
Fund warned
that "11
million children
are at risk
from hunger,
disease and
lack of water
due to El
Niño in eastern
and southern
Africa

alone."





On Thursday, the
United Nations
warned that
more than 2
million people
in Central
America will
need food aid
due to a
drought worsened
by El Niño,
which has
caused
significant failure
in crop
harvests. The
storms that
usually keep
the jungles of
southern
Mexico and
Central America
wet shift
northward to
California and
the
southern
United States
during strong
El Niño

winters.
The Climate Prediction
Center has
forecast
above-average
precipitation
for much of
California
between January
and
March.



How
debris
flows happen




Patzert said one of
the upsides in
the forecast
is epic
surfing. Past
El Niños
have brought
winters that
went down in
surfing
history, and
"it was one
great set
after another,"
he
said.
"But the other
side of epic surf
is battered
beach
communities.
That's the
flip side of
it. The epic
surf years
also meant that
beach
communities were
battered from
Northern to
Southern
California."

Source: http://www.latimes.com/local/weather/la-me-el-nino-20151114-story.html


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