2012-01-23 22:43 The Radiation Storm Continues...
The radiation storm that began early this morning has continued to rise very slowly throughout the day but has remained at the S3 (Strong) level. It should be at or near its peak and is expected to begin to decrease soon. We are still awaiting the arrival of the Coronal Mass Ejection which is still expected at about 9am EST (1400 GMT) on Tuesday. The SWPC forecast is for Moderate (G2) level geomagnetic storming with G3 levels possible. An animation from the WSA-Enlil model showing the Coronal Mass Ejection and its trip from the Sun to the Earth is available here. Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.
2012-01-23 15:01 Geomagnetic Storm Expected Tuesday, Jan 23
As the strongest Solar Radiation Storm (S3) since May, 2005 continues, the associated Earthward-directed Coronal Mass Ejection is expected to arrive about 1400 UT (9am EST) Jan 24. SWPC has issued a Geomagnetic Storm Watch with G2 level storming likely and G3 level storming possible, with the storm continuing into Wednesday, Jan 25. All of this activity is related to a moderate (R2) Radio Blackout x-ray flare that erupted Sunday night (11pm EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.
2012-01-23 07:02 Largest Solar Radiation Storm Since 2005 in Progress
The strongest Solar Radiation Storm since September, 2005 is in progress and continues to get stronger and a very fast Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is headed towards Earth. Geomagnetic storming is a near certainty from this event, pending preliminary analysis no estimates are available yet for timing or strength of the storm. The associated solar flare peaked at the R2 (Moderate) level on January 23 at 0400 GMT (11pm Jan 22 EST). Updates will be posted here as we learn more or follow us on Facebook.
2012-01-20 16:35 G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm Possible January 23
SWPC Forecasters have determined that the CME from NOAA Region 1402 near disk center yesterday will likely pass above (north) of Earth. This glancing blow will cause just G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm activity. Look for the first signs of it around 1800Z (1:00 pm EST) on Sunday, January 22, with the bulk of the disturbance to occur Monday, January 23. Watch here for updates.
2012-01-19 23:10 UPDATE -- CME from Center Disk Today
Following on from earlier today, an eruption from NOAA Region 1402 at 1605 UTC (11:05 EST) today included an earth-directed CME. Forecasters expect it to impact the geomagnetic field this weekend. Analysis is ongoing as to the strength of this impending disturbance. Check here for updates.
NOAA Regions 1401 and 1402, positioned near the center of the disk, dominate the x-ray imagery today. Expect additional R1 (Minor) Radio Blackouts from flares, and given their location, an eruption of a CME in the near future would certainly have an impact on the earth's magnetic field. Keep watch here through the weekend as conditions unfold.
2012-01-19 16:18 Bright Active Complex near Mid-Disk
NOAA Regions 1401 and 1402, positioned near the center of the disk, dominate the x-ray imagery today. Expect additional R1 (Minor) Radio Blackouts from flares, and given their location, an eruption of a CME in the near future would certainly have an impact on the earth's magnetic field. Keep watch here through the weekend as conditions unfold.Source: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/WhatsNew.html
Check out http://groups.yahoo.com/group/californiadisasters/
Read my blog at http://eclecticarcania.blogspot.com/
My Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/derkimster
Linkedin profile: http://www.linkedin.com/pub/kim-noyes/9/3a1/2b8
Follow me on Twitter @DisasterKim