Tuesday, December 13, 2011

[californiadisasters] Strong Santa Ana Wind Bulletin (12/13/11)



...STRONG AND POTENTIALLY DAMAGING OFFSHORE WINDS POSSIBLE THURSDAY 
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA...

A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST AND QUICKLY THROUGH CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THURSDAY MORNING...
INTO SOUTHEASTERN CALIFORNIA BY THURSDAY EVENING...THEN TO THE LOWER
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY BY EARLY FRIDAY. THE LATEST COMPUTER MODEL
FORECASTS ARE NOT CONSISTENT WITH THE TRACK OF THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW
WHICH COULD HAVE IMPLICATIONS ON THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE
OFFSHORE WINDS.

HOWEVER...AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL
DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF VENTURA AND LOS ANGELES COUNTIES THURSDAY
NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THE MOST
SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS FOR THE STRONG WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
AND VALLEYS...ESPECIALLY BELOW AND THROUGH THE PASSES AND CANYONS.
THIS AREA INCLUDES THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN NORTHWESTERN LOS
ANGELES COUNTY...THE SANTA CLARITA...SAN FERNANDO AND SAN GABRIEL
VALLEYS...AND THE SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR THE LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST ESPECIALLY FROM MALIBU TO
THE HOLLYWOOD HILLS...AND AREAS IN AND AROUND LAKE CASITAS IN
VENTURA COUNTY.

THE PEAK OF THIS OFFSHORE WIND EVENT WOULD LIKELY BE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. WHILE IT IS STILL A BIT EARLY TO PINPOINT
EXACT WIND SPEEDS WITH THIS EVENT DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE
TRACK OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER THROUGH FAVORED MOUNTAIN
PASSES...AND STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ACROSS WIND FAVORED COASTAL
AND VALLEY LOCATIONS. STRONG AND GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS WELL.

IF THIS STRONG OFFSHORE WIND EVENT DEVELOPS...THERE WOULD LIKELY BE
SUFFICIENTLY LOW HUMIDITIES TO CREATE HEIGHTENED FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS. OTHER POTENTIAL IMPACTS WOULD INCLUDE DOWNED TREES AND
POWER LINES ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS...AND STRONG CROSS WINDS FOR
MOTORISTS WHICH WOULD AFFECT HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS
AND STATEMENTS ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

SIRARD
Source: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?wfo=lox&sid=LOX&pil=SPS

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