Tuesday, May 5, 2015

Re: [Geology2] M7.4 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA



Hi Eman,

It wood bee gneiss eff Otto Speller gnu wart wee were thinking.  (That was spelled correctly but must be spoken to clearly understand.  Spell check need grammar check too.)

I understood the 'butterfly' reference.  Please excuse me for not checking which plates were affected, I had collapsed into the recliner to catch up on email after a week on the road (good trip though, Lassen volcano; no hiking as the road just opened and there is still 1-10' of snow near the top).  Even now, I am caffeine deprived, which I'll soon remedy.  ;o)

It would be simple to presume that there is a causative connection regardless of the plate(s) involved.  If the connection were to be discovered, it would make predictions more reliable without a 30 year (plus) time window (with a window that large, anyone could be correct).  A change in energy (static to kinetic release) must cause a change somewhere else; the release of tension on one area must change the dynamics of other areas.

It would be even more interesting to see if there was a causal effect for the volcanoes too, as they could be releasing pressure just as an earthquake, albeit more slowly.  My underlying suspicion is that while the rock we live on is cooling (because nothing is there to heat it and that energy is being released into space), it's shrinking as well, forcing the collision/subduction of plates and forcing magma out through the thinner/weaker crusts.

But I'm not a student of geology, simply an observer, enjoying what has been done with wonder.

Thanks,
Rick

On 5/5/2015 5:36 AM, MEM mstreman53@yahoo.com [geology2] wrote:
 

I hate auto speller!!!  Not drunk just too small a screen to find and override unwanted word changes. See chaos theory for the butterfly wing refference.

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From:"MEM mstreman53@yahoo.com [geology2]" <geology2@yahoogroups.com>
Date:Tue, May 5, 2015 at 8:24
Subject:Re: [Geology2] M7.4 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
the two events were not even on the same plate.
 To borrow from chaos theory, how can we know that Nepal's quake wasn't "triggered" by butterfly wings flapping causing a chain of events leading to a hurricane 40 years ago which set off a slippage on a fault which snowballed into a major quake. ad nauseum?  

We can rarely know anything of intervention cause an effect. but we can are reasoned judgments and I make the case for a given position rather than pursue superstition..  One factor is the lack of proxomity.

Eman

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From:"Rick Bates HappyMoosePhoto@gmail.com [geology2]" <geology2@yahoogroups.com>
Date:Tue, May 5, 2015 at 1:04
Subject:Re: [Geology2] M7.4 NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA

 
Kate,

How do we KNOW this wasn't triggered by Nepal?

The timing and distance is pretty close... globally speaking. 

73,
Rick wa6nhc

Tiny iPhone 5 keypad, typos are inevitable

On May 4, 2015, at 9:22 PM, Kim Noyes kimnoyes@gmail.com [geology2] <geology2@yahoogroups.com> wrote:

 


Globe                                                            with                                                            Earthquake                                                            Location

M7.4 - NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA




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Posted by: Rick WA6NHC <happymoosephoto@gmail.com>



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