Here we go with the beginning of the "season." This is going to be a risky few days for some L.A. communities. Early to mid-October have traditionally been the most disastrous time for fires.
Jason
In a message dated 9/30/2013 9:49:02 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time, kimnoyes@gmail.com writes:
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY FOR VENTURA COUNTY AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANTELOPE VALLEY... .CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT. CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN SHIFTS EAST WHILE WEAKENING SATURDAY. THE SANTA ANA WINDS ARE EXPECTED PEAK FRIDAY MIDDAY AND THEN PERSIST WHILE WEAKENING FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH POOR TO MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL SHARPLY INTO THE MID TEENS FRIDAY MORNING AND BY SATURDAY WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY WILL EXTEND FROM THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. CAZ240-244-245-253-011700- /O.NEW.KLOX.FW.A.0004.131004T0400Z-131006T0200Z/ VENTURA COUNTY COAST-VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS / LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST- 235 PM PDT MON SEP 30 2013 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR VENTURA COUNTY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN THE FAVORED RIDGES AND CANYONS AND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ELSEWHERE. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AND PEAK MIDDAY FRIDAY AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MID TEENS FRIDAY AND SINGLE DIGITS SATURDAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * TEMPERATURES...5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL...UPPER 70S TO MID 80S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S IN THE VALLEYS AND MID 70S NEAR THE BEACHES. * IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS THERE COULD BE RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE THAT WOULD LEAD TO A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA 235 PM PDT MON SEP 30 2013 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW HUMIDITY FOR VENTURA COUNTY AND LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANTELOPE VALLEY... .CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT. CONFIDENCE IS RELATIVELY HIGH AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AND THEN SHIFTS EAST WHILE WEAKENING SATURDAY. THE SANTA ANA WINDS ARE EXPECTED PEAK FRIDAY MIDDAY AND THEN PERSIST WHILE WEAKENING FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL WITH POOR TO MODERATE RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO FALL SHARPLY INTO THE MID TEENS FRIDAY MORNING AND BY SATURDAY WIDESPREAD SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITY WILL EXTEND FROM THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. CAZ241-246-254-288-547-548-011700- /O.NEW.KLOX.FW.A.0004.131004T0400Z-131006T0200Z/ LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA- LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS / ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST- SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY- LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY- 235 PM PDT MON SEP 30 2013 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANTELOPE VALLEY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOS ANGELES/OXNARD HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. * WINDS...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH IN THE FAVORED RIDGES AND CANYONS AND 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH ELSEWHERE. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AND PEAK MIDDAY FRIDAY AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MID TEENS FRIDAY AND SINGLE DIGITS SATURDAY WITH POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY. * TEMPERATURES...5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL...UPPER 70S TO MID 80S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S IN THE VALLEYS AND MID 70S NEAR THE BEACHES. * IMPACTS...IF FIRE IGNITION OCCURS THERE COULD BE RAPID SPREAD OF WILDFIRE THAT WOULD LEAD TO A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS.Source: NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard
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